-
Posts
3,391 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Everything posted by danielsangeo
-
Subs up!
-
Believe it or not, I am not a subtitling robot, despite rumors to the contrary. ross_rants_robot_jobs_en.srt
-
It could be I'm wrong then on that point. Wouldn't the articles about the new jobs we're getting paying less still hold up however? IIRC, that's just what happens after huge recessions like the one we just had. Low-paying jobs come back first. Then, as the economy continues to improve, medium- and higher-paying jobs start to come back. I liken it to a house fire. It's super fast to destroy a lot of things that took time to create. It then takes a lot longer to come back from that fire. First, you have to remove all the things damaged and destroyed by the fire before you can do cleanup, and then re-get everything lost, just to get back to status quo. From what I can tell, comparing the previous recession to, say, the Great Depression, we're tracking that pretty well.
-
The thing is, the media don't really report the numbers you're looking for but the government does. It's just oftentimes buried under the official numbers. There are six rates published by the US government: As of February 2016: U-1: percentage of the labor force unemployed 15 weeks or longer U-2: percentage of labor force who lost jobs or completed temp work U-3: official unemployment rate that everyone knows U-4: U-3 rate + discouraged workers, persons who have given up looking for work U-5: U-4 rate + marginally attached workers, persons who have been unemployed for so long that they're no longer counted in the U-3 rate, but are still looking for work or have stopped looking for work but still want work U-6: U-5 rate + people employed part-time who would rather have full time As of February 2016: U-1: 2.1% (down from high of 5.9% in April 2010) U-2: 2.4% (down from high of 6.3% in December 2009) U-3: 4.9% (down from high of 10% in October 2009) U-4: 5.3% (down from high of 10.5% in February 2010) U-5: 6.0% (down from high of 11.3% in April 2010) U-6: 9.7% (down from high of 17.1% in April 2010) You can find these rates listed here. Generally, when you hear people are referencing the "real unemployment rate", they're simply taking the number of people "not in the labor force" (that is, not working at all for whatever reason), and mixing that with the U-6 number to get the extremely distorted figure of 40% or more unemployed. Back to the question at the end of the video: What sci-fi movie or whatever is the future going to be most like? Depends on how far into the future we're talking, but if we're talking about in the next 100 years, I'm thinking some sort of Frankenstein's monster mixture of "Demolition Man" and "Star Trek". I'm just not sure if we're going to have the good parts of those or the bad parts...
-
Ross, I must fervently disagree with something you said in this video. You advised us to look up the "real unemployment rate" and then showed a chart showing the Civilian Employment-Population Ratio beginning around 1990. I feel both of these are misleading in the extreme. First, the "real unemployment rate" is a misnomer because it includes people 16 years old or older who are just not working for whatever reason. This includes retirees, students going back to school, the disabled and other reasons that might not have anything to do with the current employment situation. Which brings me to the second part. The chart you provided. If you expand the "Civilian Employment-Population" chart out to its furthest extreme (beginning in 1948), you will see that the ratio was much lower back in the 1950s and 1960s. The reason for the increase starting in the early-1960s is the Baby Boomers entering the workforce. The drop-off starting around the year 2000, in the meanwhile, represents the beginning of the Baby Boomers retiring and leaving the workforce. It is my contention that, beyond the severe drop during the financial crisis, the numbers are still above normal and going back up, despite the retiring Baby Boomers. Maybe we're recovering until all the Baby Boomers retire and/or die out* in which case, we return to the levels we had in the 1950s. Just wanted to inject some context into that. * Sorry for being morbid there. My father is a Baby Boomer and he's been retired and I don't think you can really count him as being unemployed because he's getting a large enough pension from being a federal worker to keep him in money for the rest of his life, but that's not the case for others, but they're retiring as well so they might be in a similar situation, or they may not be. Just saying, I don't think you can count retirees as unemployed.
-
Hello, everyone! Are you a big fan of the "Witcher" games? Have you dumped many hours into the life and times of Geralt of Rivia? Would you like to help with "The Movie!"? Email me at [email protected] ! I'd love to talk with you about it. Thanks!
-
He has mentioned it in his videochats before. It's where I learned it. He lives in or near Gdańsk.
-
"Here comes the smolder."
-
"Hmmm...wonder what someone's going to have me say. Oh wait!"
-
You want a Cloud Strife amiibo? I want a Yarn Poochy amiibo (soft like the Yarn Yoshi amiibo):
-
Try to send the email to [email protected] as this is the address we're using for "THE MOVIE!"-related stuff. Thank you for your interest!
-
I'm the one that "screens" the questions. Which questions did you think I did wrong on? I will try to rectify any error. Also, just because the question is posted doesn't mean Ross will answer it. He sometimes will skip questions. Either way, I don't want to be the one at fault so if you could point out where I did wrong, that'd be great, so I don't continue to do wrong in the future.
-
Make your home life more boring than your work shifts, and your work shifts will look more fun by comparison. How do I get more sleep? I keep waking up before the alarm but I'm still tired.
-
Future Underwriters' Weekly Tennis Extravaganza PIXMA (I just got a new printer...)
-
I was doing this until I heard from you, Magda: Not really, but it was good to hear nothing permanent happened.
-
I think Ross was recording it locally. I think the archived video should be okay.
-
Spoke with Magda over email. They're okay. Their Internet Service Provider "messed up" and they're working on getting that resolved. They should be back very soon.
-
As he came into the window It was the sound of a crescendo He came into her apartment He left the bloodstains on the carpet She ran underneath the table He could see she was unable So she ran into the bedroom She was struck down, it was her doom
-
Portable Egg Beater Cleaning Key RFRFR
-
What's the best way to stop getting hangnails?
-
General Zaraki of the Spanish Inquisition. yQKG6_0mMfo